2011 Caulfield Cup betting – Caulfield Cup Odds

The rise and rise of December Draw, the 2011 $2.5m Caulfield Cup (2400m) favourite, gets the chance to lift again if you believe Caulfield Cup betting.

While Lucas Cranach, the 2011 Caulfield Cup second favourite was turned in half a point from $7.50 to $7, December Draw remained solid favourite at $2.30 with Luxbet.

From a winter handicap in May to the Caulfield Cup six months later – the rise has included five wins from six starts.

It seems no unpredictable factor is plaguing the Mark Kavanagh trained galloper though some have doubt he will run the 2400m of the Caulfield Cup of 2011 right out.

Kavanagh is not only training him for the Caulfield Cup of 2011 but also the Melbourne Cup of 3200m, such is the confidence of the ex-South Australian jumps jockey who is now a leading trainer in Melbourne.

“I can’t fault him, he has improved at each run and has improved leaps and bounds since winning the Turnbull Stakes,” Kavanagh said.

“He showed in the Turnbull he can respond in a scrap and I believe he will run 2400m.”

Beside Lucas Cranach, only two other horses shortened in the betting today with Luxbet – Southern Speed form $ 21 to $16 and Tullamore from $51 to $26.

Trainer Leon Macdonald is very happy with the draw (barrier four) and the shape of Southern Speed.

While both his mare and December Draw have not ventured beyond 2000m, Macdonald believes his mare will run it right out.

By Southern Image from Golden Eagle, the dam is by Zabeel a major staying influence in Australasia for years.

Both gallopers drew perfectly next to each other in the Caulfield Cup of 2011.

While the Gai Waterhouse trained Tullamore drew wide in barrier 15, the specking was based on pure weight of money for the Caulfield Cup.

Waterhouse is aiming for her second Caulfield Cup winner in successive years after Descarado’s Caulfield Cup win in 2010.

While Peter Moody takes all before him, the Caulfield Cup has been a stumbling block to date in his stellar career having not had a placegetter.

He record is unlikely to change with bolter Macedonian a drifter with luxbet from $101 to $151.

Those thinking of opening an account to get into the action should take up theLuxbet Bonus Bet offer. Initial deposits during the Melbourne Spring Racing Carnival from $25 to $500 will be matched but Luxbet – If you start an account with $500 you and get an extra $500 free– not bad is it.

RACE 8 – 4:05PM BMW CAULFIELD CUP (2400 METRES)
Of $2,500,000.1st $1,500,000, 2nd $375,000, 3rd $200,000, 4th $110,000, 5th $90,000, 6th $75,000, 7th $75,000, 8th $75,000 GROUP 1 Handicap, Minimum Weight 52.5kg, Weight Raised 2.5kg, Apprentices cannot claim.Field Limit: 18 + 4 EM

NO	LAST 10	HORSE	TRAINER	JOCKEY	BARRIER	WEIGHT	PENALTY	HCP RATING
1	2132331X34	MIGHTY HIGH (FR)	John Moore	Darren Beadman	1	57kg		109
2	0X446X1313	DRUNKEN SAILOR (IRE)	Luca Cumani	Dwayne Dunn	18	56.5kg		110
3	52573X3484	MANIGHAR (FR)	Luca Cumani	Damien Oliver	5	56.5kg		110
4	93621X5X40	UNUSUAL SUSPECT (USA)	Michael Kent	Nash Rawiller	7	56.5kg		110
5	1111X4215X	LUCAS CRANACH (GER)	Anthony Freedman	Corey Brown	3	56kg		109
6	18X025X670	PRECEDENCE (NZ)	Bart Cummings	Steven Arnold	20	56kg		108
7	1341FX6022	HAWK ISLAND (IRE)	Chris Waller	Glyn Schofield	14	55.5kg		109
8	031141X002	SHOOTOFF (NZ)	Graeme Rogerson	Kerrin McEvoy	16	55kg		104
9	98X11X2111	DECEMBER DRAW (IRE)	Mark Kavanagh	Michael Rodd	11	54.5kg	2.0kg	112
10	2534X75558	SAPTAPADI (IRE)	Brian Ellison	Mark Zahra	6	54.5kg		103
11	211421X838	TULLAMORE (NZ)	Gai Waterhouse	Craig Newitt	15	54.5kg		101
12	X63321X566	ABSOLUTELY	Michael Kent	Brad Rawiller	22	54kg		105
13	11255X0061	DREAM PEDLAR	Troy Blacker	Chris Symons	19	53.5kg		103
14	X40121X072	NIWOT	Michael, Wayne & John Hawkes	Dean Yendall	21	53.5kg		101
15	14109X5737	DOMESKY	Michael Kent	Brenton Avdulla	9	53kg		94
16	11585X8921	GREEN MOON (IRE)	Robert Hickmott	Nicholas Hall	17	53kg	0.5kg	95
17	19435X0067	MACEDONIAN (NZ)	Peter G Moody	Luke Nolen	10	53kg		95
18	1723X00424	SOUTHERN SPEED	Leon Macdonald & Andrew Gluyas	Craig Williams	4	52.5kg		105
19e	X207155309	SPECHENKA	Ben Ahrens	Michael Walker	13	53kg		92
20e	111X5X3739	LUCKY EIGHTY EIGHT	Mathew Ellerton & Simon Zahra	Ms Michelle Payne	8	52.5kg		98
21e	2322X00445	ANUDJAWUN (NZ)	Shaun Dwyer	Chris Symons	12	52.5kg		89
22e	X9111X5814	MIDNIGHT MARTINI	Mark Kavanagh		2	52.5kg		89

We suggest you now visit Races.com.au for the current 2011 Melbourne Cup Odds and Melbourne Cup Betting markets.

Highly respected form annalyst Dominic Beirne believes the 2011 $2,5m Group 1 Caulfield Cup winner on weights will be Caulfield Cup favourite December Draw.

While bookmakers around Australia have December Draw drifting, it is a case where they probably had him too short in the first place due to ante post betting pressures.

Beirne, a former bookmaker, believes punters should get on 2011 Caulfield Cup favourite regardless.

“The handicaps for the Caulfield Cup were issued six weeks ago and RVL [Racing Victoria] handicapper Greg Carpenter has told me that if the weights were re-calibrated now, December Draw would be the topweight with 2.5kg more than he will carry tomorrow,” Beirne said on Friday.

“The rule of thumb states that a horse loses a length for every two pounds [0.907184 kg] added over a 2400 metre journey. Therefore on weights alone, December Draw should win by three-lengths.”

Paul Vincent from Luxbet is right behind the Beirne view.

“December Draw is the obvious one with great form, good barrier and the stable is flying,” Vincent said.

Vincent is declaring December Draw and siding with its trainer Mark Kavanagh on the distance debate.

“The distance is no concern for mine and he’ll win,” Vincent said.

“He’s very well weighted and his ability to race handy has him clear top pick.

The good barrier draw, light weight and good form of Southern Speed have made her a market mover’s darling for the 2011 Caulfield Cup.

Her co-trainer Leon Macdonald goes into the race confident and with the belief Southern Speed will run the 2400m of the 2011 Caulfield Cup right out.

“She should get a very good run from there (barrier 3), you have to say she is a genuine chance,” he said.

“I don’t think we have a problem with the 2400m, in fact I think she is well suited by the 2400m.

“Obviously December Draw is very hard to beat, the measuring stick – I don’t know if he will stay.

“He has the best form going into the race but he had to pull out all the stops to beat off Glass Harmonium the other day (in the Turnbull) and I think it was a gut buster for him.”

Southern Speed, $26 earlier in the week, is into $14 with Luxbet after touching $12.

Sportsbets Haydn Lane says beside that mare, money has come for Manighar.

“The big movers in the market are Southern Speed and Manighar who drew perfectly in gates four and five,” Lane said.

As well as Manighar, Luca Cumani’s other entrant Drunken Sailor has had backing at long odds.

Manighar from $31 to $18 and Drunken Sailor from $26 to $19 with Luxbet for the 2011 Caulfield Cup.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the two best backed runners had been

Mighty High and Southern Speed with his firm

All bookie report a lack of interest in Lucas Cranach since Wednesday after reports of a hoof problem surfaced.

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Caulfield Cup Odds

Tag: 2011 Caulfield Cup betting

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