2011 Caulfield Cup Betting Points To A Win For Lucas Or Speed

The rise and rise of December Draw, the 2011 $2.5m Caulfield Cup (2400m) favourite, gets the chance to lift again if you believe Caulfield Cup betting.

While Lucas Cranach, the 2011 Caulfield Cup second favourite was turned in half a point from $7.50 to $7, December Draw remained solid favourite at $2.30 with Luxbet.

From a winter handicap in May  to the Caulfield Cup six months later – the rise has included five wins from six starts.

It seems no unpredictable factor is plaguing the Mark Kavanagh trained galloper though some have doubt he will run the 2400m of the Caulfield Cup of 2011 right out.

Kavanagh is not only training him for the Caulfield Cup of 2011  but also the Melbourne Cup of 3200m, such is the confidence of the ex-South Australian jumps jockey who is now a leading trainer in Melbourne.

“I can’t fault him, he has improved at each run and has improved leaps and bounds since winning the Turnbull Stakes,” Kavanagh said.

“He showed in the Turnbull he can respond in a scrap and I believe he will run 2400m.”

Beside Lucas Cranach, only two other horses shortened in the betting today with Luxbet – Southern Speed form $ 21 to $16 and Tullamore from $51 to $26.

Trainer Leon Macdonald is very happy with the draw (barrier four) and the shape of Southern Speed.

While both his mare and December Draw have not ventured beyond 2000m, Macdonald believes his mare will run it right out.

By Southern Image from Golden Eagle, the dam is by Zabeel a major staying influence in Australasia  for years.

Both gallopers drew perfectly next to each other in the Caulfield Cup of 2011.

While the Gai Waterhouse trained Tullamore drew wide in barrier 15, the specking was based on pure weight of money for the Caulfield Cup.

Waterhouse is aiming for her second Caulfield Cup winner in successive years after Descarado’s Caulfield Cup win in 2010.

While Peter Moody takes all before him, the Caulfield Cup has been a stumbling block to date in his stellar career having not had a placegetter.

He record is unlikely to change with bolter Macedonian a drifter with luxbet from $101 to $151.

Those thinking of opening an account to get  into the action should take up theLuxbet Bonus Bet offer. Initial deposits during the Melbourne Spring Racing Carnival from $25 to $500 will be matched but Luxbet – If you start an account with $500 you and get an extra $500 free– not bad is it.

RACE 8 – 4:05PM BMW CAULFIELD CUP (2400 METRES)
Of $2,500,000.1st $1,500,000, 2nd $375,000, 3rd $200,000, 4th $110,000, 5th $90,000, 6th $75,000, 7th $75,000, 8th $75,000 GROUP 1
Handicap, Minimum Weight 52.5kg, Weight Raised 2.5kg, Apprentices cannot claim.Field Limit: 18 + 4 EM

 

NO LAST 10 HORSE TRAINER JOCKEY BARRIER WEIGHT PENALTY HCP RATING
1 2132331X34 MIGHTY HIGH (FR) John Moore Darren Beadman 1 57kg 109
2 0X446X1313 DRUNKEN SAILOR (IRE) Luca Cumani Dwayne Dunn 18 56.5kg 110
3 52573X3484 MANIGHAR (FR) Luca Cumani Damien Oliver 5 56.5kg 110
4 93621X5X40 UNUSUAL SUSPECT (USA) Michael Kent Nash Rawiller 7 56.5kg 110
5 1111X4215X LUCAS CRANACH (GER) Anthony Freedman Corey Brown 3 56kg 109
6 18X025X670 PRECEDENCE (NZ) Bart Cummings Steven Arnold 20 56kg 108
7 1341FX6022 HAWK ISLAND (IRE) Chris Waller Glyn Schofield 14 55.5kg 109
8 031141X002 SHOOTOFF (NZ) Graeme Rogerson Kerrin McEvoy 16 55kg 104
9 98X11X2111 DECEMBER DRAW (IRE) Mark Kavanagh Michael Rodd 11 54.5kg 2.0kg 112
10 2534X75558 SAPTAPADI (IRE) Brian Ellison Mark Zahra 6 54.5kg 103
11 211421X838 TULLAMORE (NZ) Gai Waterhouse Craig Newitt 15 54.5kg 101
12 X63321X566 ABSOLUTELY Michael Kent Brad Rawiller 22 54kg 105
13 11255X0061 DREAM PEDLAR Troy Blacker Chris Symons 19 53.5kg 103
14 X40121X072 NIWOT Michael, Wayne & John Hawkes Dean Yendall 21 53.5kg 101
15 14109X5737 DOMESKY Michael Kent Brenton Avdulla 9 53kg 94
16 11585X8921 GREEN MOON (IRE) Robert Hickmott Nicholas Hall 17 53kg 0.5kg 95
17 19435X0067 MACEDONIAN (NZ) Peter G Moody Luke Nolen 10 53kg 95
18 1723X00424 SOUTHERN SPEED Leon Macdonald & Andrew Gluyas Craig Williams 4 52.5kg 105
19e X207155309 SPECHENKA Ben Ahrens Michael Walker 13 53kg 92
20e 111X5X3739 LUCKY EIGHTY EIGHT Mathew Ellerton & Simon Zahra Ms Michelle Payne 8 52.5kg 98
21e 2322X00445 ANUDJAWUN (NZ) Shaun Dwyer Chris Symons 12 52.5kg 89
22e X9111X5814 MIDNIGHT MARTINI Mark Kavanagh 2 52.5kg 89

We suggest you now visit Races.com.au for the current 2011 Melbourne Cup Odds and Melbourne Cup Betting markets.